Australia announced the establishment of bass strait (the strait between the Australian mainland and Tasmania) offshore wind power area in Tasmania, southeast of Australia.Soochow securities: The demand resonance of land, sea and wind installations is optimistic about the long-term growth of the plate. soochow securities released a research report saying that in 2025, the growth rate of wind installations will be high, with long-term growth. Dongfang Cable (603606.SH) and Qifan Cable (605222.SH) are recommended, and Zhongtian Technology (600522.SH) and Hengtong Optoelectronics (600487. SH) are concerned; Daikin Heavy Industry (002487.SZ), Tianshun Wind Energy (002531.SZ), Haili Wind Energy (301155.SZ) and Taisheng Wind Energy (300129.SZ) are recommended."The number of accounts opened exceeds expectations" is a general evaluation of the pilot situation of personal pension in the industry. Starting with the announcement of the pilot list of 36 cities (regions) on November 25th, 2022, by the end of June 2023, in less than one year, the number of people opening individual pension accounts has reached 40.3 million, and by the end of June 2024, the number of people opening individual pension accounts in China has exceeded 60 million. (Securities Times)
CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.Six members of the ruling party of South Korean President Yin Xiyue supported the impeachment of the president.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 19%.
Medical staff: At least seven Palestinians were killed in Israeli air strikes. They were responsible for protecting aid trucks in the south of the Gaza Strip.Market information: Israeli air strikes targeted the Palestinian people carrying security aid trucks in Rafah, causing medical casualties.Beijing successfully sold the first unlimited land plot since the price limit, with a transfer amount of 11.054 billion yuan. On December 12, the R2 second-class residential land of the land development project for shantytown renovation in Wanquansi Village, Fengtai District, Beijing was successfully sold at the reserve price, with a transfer amount of 11.054 billion yuan, which is also the first unlimited land plot sold in Beijing since the price limit in 2021. It is worth mentioning that this plot is the third plot with a total price exceeding 10 billion besides the old transformation of Jiuxianqiao in Chaoyang+the shed transformation of Sunheqian Weigou Group+the plot 0017 in Chaoyang Park North District of Zhongguancun, and the plot of Jiuxianqiao+shibalidian+xiaohongmen Group. (CSI Taurus)
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide